Using data from the 2010 to 2014 merged American Community Survey released by the U.S. Census Bureau, this paper estimates the labor market impact of jobs likely to be lost with a rapid transition to autonomous vehicles. The report finds that certain population groups and areas of the country would be disproportionately affected. Finally, we call for policymakers to take immediate steps to offset the potential for harmful labor disruptions.

Key findings

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The integration of AVs will likely impact jobs for almost 3 percent of the population.

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Technology may not adapt quick enough for AVs.

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Strengthening unemployment insurance, providing more affordable higher education and improving apprenticeship programs can help mitigate the harm to displaced workers when AVs begin to emerge.

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